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Bearded analyst in a suit points to a large monitor showing stock tickers and charts while two colleagues listen in a modern office.

Forecasting Without Story Points: A Monte Carlo Playbook

Build probabilistic delivery forecasts from historical throughputโ€”plus caveats, confidence intervals, and an executive-ready chart. Most teams still try to โ€œestimateโ€ delivery with story points. You donโ€™t need them. If you have a list of items finished per day/week (throughput), you can simulate thousands of futures in seconds and answer the only questions that matter: โ€œWhen…

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Illustration of a business team running beneath a rising line chart; the lead runner is leaping a hurdle.

Stop Carryover: End Unfinished Sprints with Flow Metrics

Introduction If every Sprint Review ends with a familiar phraseโ€”โ€œweโ€™ll carry this overโ€โ€”youโ€™re stuck in the cycle of unfinished sprints. It drains morale, muddies forecasts, and delays value. The good news: this isnโ€™t a motivation problem; itโ€™s a flow problem. In this guide, youโ€™ll learn how to diagnose carryover using three practical flow metricsโ€”throughput, WIP,…

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